MANITOBA: Thunderstorm Forecast for Tuesday, July 25, 2023



FORECAST DISCUSSION

Scattered thunderstorms are set to develop across Central Manitoba, including the Interlake region, during Tuesday afternoon and evening. Some of these storms could pack a punch, with severe threats including hail up to the size of golf balls, 100 km/h wind gusts, and localized flash flooding. An isolated tornado isn’t out of the question.

There could also be some morning thunderstorm activity through South-central Manitoba into Winnipeg that may reach marginally severe levels. The primary threat would be flooding due to the slow-moving nature of these storms. Strong wind gusts and up to quarter-sized hail is also possible.

We're keeping a close eye on the extent of the risk, especially in areas to the south, like Winnipeg. While the environment is conducive to severe weather, current model data suggests that storm development is more likely further north, where we have a 'slight' risk.