Ice Day (Bus Cancellation) Outlook for Wednesday, February 23, 2022

Freezing rain throughout Central and Eastern Ontario is expected to continue overnight with temperatures remaining near the freezing mark going into Wednesday morning. In addition to this, a flash freeze is expected early Wednesday morning for those regions that did get above freezing which will lead to very icy road conditions. As a result, we expect another day of widespread school bus cancellations with affected regions being similar to what we saw on Tuesday.

Bus cancellations are almost certain for Sudbury, North Bay, Parry Sound, Muskoka, Haliburton and the Bancroft/Renfrew region with a 90% chance of an ‘ice day’. Road conditions and ongoing freezing rain makes it hard to see how busses could safely operate in this region. For Extreme Eastern Ontario including Ottawa, we have gone with a 75% chance here as there will be a slight warm-up early Wednesday morning allowing for some melting. But road conditions will likely still be quite hazardous, especially in rural areas.

The probability quickly decreases to the south and west where the freeze over will be more gradual and didn’t see much freezing rain. We still have a 5% chance in Deep Southwestern Ontario as temperatures will be slightly below the freezing at 6 AM and can’t rule out the very very slim chance of bus cancellations based on road conditions.

If there are any cancellations tomorrow morning, you can be sure we’ll be up bright and early beginning at 6 AM with our bus cancellations live blog to keep you updated.


Disclaimer: Instant Weather has zero authority when it comes to bus and school closures. It is completely up to the school boards, bus companies, and local authorities as well as being up to parents to decide what is best for their children. This is simply our best guess based on our forecast. Also note that due to the current pandemic, some school boards have changed their policies on school bus cancellations. Some will continue the school day in a virtual format should there be school bus cancellations - check with your local board for more details.