ONTARIO: Fall Colour Outlook for Monday, September 25, 2023

NOTE: YOU CAN CLICK ON THE MAP TO OPEN A ZOOMABLE IMAGE


Fall has officially arrived in Southern Ontario, marking the Autumn Equinox last Saturday. If you're looking for that perfect fall scenery, Central Ontario is the place to be. The fall foliage here has been changing rapidly in the past week.

Algonquin Park, in particular, is showing off its beauty, with approximately 60% of its leaves transitioning into their vibrant fall colours. They are now entering peak fall colours when the colour change is above 50% and tree coverage is still relatively high at 90%.


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For other parts of Central Ontario, like Muskoka and Bancroft, they've reached around 40% in fall colour progression. That's a signal that their peak fall colours are likely just around the corner, usually lasting one to two weeks depending on the weather as the leaves drift to the ground.

The trees in Grey-Bruce and the Ottawa Valley are also starting to show off their autumn colours, with roughly 30% of their leaves beginning their transformation. Meanwhile, Southwestern Ontario and the Golden Horseshoe are still hanging at around 10% colour change. This slower shift is likely due to the warmer weather earlier this month, but as we settle into more typical fall temperatures, expect those colours to start showing up soon.

Please note: This forecast relies on extrapolating data collected from various parks throughout Southern Ontario. Since some parks do not provide daily updates, we may draw data from adjacent regions to formulate our estimated leaf change predictions. This also means that the data displayed on the map may not exactly match what is occurring in your backyard.


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Fall Colour Report

Fall Colour Report by park

Park Name Colour Change (%) Tree Coverage
Algonquin [PEAK] 60% 90%
Arrowhead 40% 90%
Awenda 10% 100%
Balsam Lake 20% 90%
Bass Lake 10% 90%
Bon Echo 20% 80%
Bonnechere 20% 90%
Bronte Creek 10% 90%
Charleston Lake 30% 80%
Darlington 10% 100%
Driftwood 20% 80%
Fitzroy 20% 90%
Forks of the Credit 10% 100%
Frontenac 20% 90%
Grundy Lake 20% 100%
Inverhuron 30% 90%
Killbear 10% 100%
Lake St. Peter 20% 90%
Long Point 10% 90%
MacGregor Point 20% 90%
Mark S. Burnham 20% 90%
McRae Point 10% 90%
Mikisew 30% 90%
Mono Cliffs 10% 100%
Murphys Point 20% 90%
Oxtongue River-Ragged Falls 40% 90%
Petroglyphs 20% 90%
Point Farms 30% 10%
Port Burwell 10% 100%
Presqu'ile 10% 100%
Restoule 30% 90%
Rideau River 10% 90%
Rondeau 10% 100%
Sandbanks 10% 100%
Sauble Falls 30% 90%
Sharbot Lake 20% 80%
Sibbald Point 20% 80%
Silent Lake 40% 90%
Silver Lake 20% 80%
Sturgeon Bay 20% 80%
The Massasauga 10% 90%
Turkey Point 10% 90%
Voyageur 30% 90%
Wheatley 10% 100%
 

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The ideal time to witness the full glory of fall colours in Southern Ontario is when the colour change percentage reaches its peak, often around 70-90%, and the tree coverage is above 50%.

The peak of fall colours in Southern Ontario typically lasts for about one to two weeks, although the exact duration can vary from year to year depending on weather conditions.

Data courtesy of Ontario Parks