ONTARIO: Fall Colour Outlook for Thursday, September 28, 2023

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As we near the end of September, the fall colours continue their colourful transformation across Southern Ontario. Right now, Central Ontario is the place to be if you're seeking the peak of autumn beauty.

This weekend, consider taking a scenic trip to Algonquin Park, Muskoka, and Bancroft. These areas report that 40-80% of leaves have started their colourful transition. And, the best part? Around 80-90% of those leaves are still hanging on, creating a vibrant landscape.


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In addition to Central Ontario, the Ottawa Valley, Dundalk Highland, parts of Lake Huron, and the Western GTA are all experiencing significant progress. Parks in these spots are showing off around 30-40% colour change, although there's some variation, especially around Georgian Bay, where the colours seem to be taking their time.

Considering how Central Ontario has transitioned over the past week, it's safe to say that these mentioned regions will be at their peak fall beauty just in time for Thanksgiving next weekend!

Now, for the regions around Lake Ontario shoreline, Norfolk, and Niagara, there hasn't been much progress. They've been hanging at around 10% colour change for over a week. However, just like their neighbours, they're expected to speed up their transition over the next week. So, keep your eyes peeled for that fall magic!

Please note: This forecast relies on extrapolating data collected from various parks throughout Southern Ontario. Since some parks do not provide daily updates, we may draw data from adjacent regions to formulate our estimated leaf change predictions. This also means that the data displayed on the map may not exactly match what is occurring in your backyard.


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Fall Colour Report

Fall Colour Report by park

Park Name Colour Change (%) Tree Coverage
Algonquin [PEAK] 80% 90%
Arrowhead [PEAK] 60% 80%
Awenda 10% 100%
Balsam Lake 30% 80%
Bass Lake 10% 90%
Bon Echo 30% 80%
Bonnechere 30% 80%
Bronte Creek 30% 90%
Charleston Lake 40% 80%
Darlington 10% 100%
Driftwood 20% 80%
Earl Rowe 10% 90%
Fitzroy 20% 90%
Forks of the Credit 30% 90%
Frontenac 30% 80%
Grundy Lake 30% 90%
Inverhuron 30% 90%
Killbear 10% 100%
Lake St. Peter 40% 80%
Long Point 10% 90%
MacGregor Point 20% 90%
Mark S. Burnham 20% 90%
McRae Point 10% 90%
Mikisew [PEAK] 60% 80%
Mono Cliffs 30% 90%
Murphys Point 30% 90%
Oxtongue River-Ragged Falls [PEAK] 60% 80%
Petroglyphs 20% 90%
Point Farms 30% 90%
Port Burwell 10% 100%
Presqu'ile 10% 100%
Restoule 40% 90%
Rideau River 10% 90%
Rondeau 20% 90%
Sandbanks 10% 90%
Sauble Falls 30% 90%
Sharbot Lake 30% 70%
Sibbald Point 30% 80%
Silent Lake 40% 90%
Silver Lake 30% 70%
Sturgeon Bay 30% 80%
The Massasauga 10% 90%
Turkey Point 10% 90%
Voyageur 30% 90%
Wasaga Beach 10% 100%
Wheatley 20% 90%
 

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The ideal time to witness the full glory of fall colours in Southern Ontario is when the colour change percentage reaches its peak, often around 70-90%, and the tree coverage is above 50%.

The peak of fall colours in Southern Ontario typically lasts for about one to two weeks, although the exact duration can vary from year to year depending on weather conditions.

Data courtesy of Ontario Parks