‘Snow Day’ Forecast: Some Parts of Southern Ontario Could See Their Third Day in a Row With School Buses Cancelled

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As the snow squall outbreak persists in the snowbelt region east of Georgian Bay, it looks set to cause a third consecutive day of bus cancellations in the Parry Sound and North Bay regions. Our forecast for Wednesday closely resembles that of Tuesday, as there has been little change in the squalls' locations.

Additionally, lake effect snow from Lake Ontario and Lake Erie may result in quick snow accumulation and challenging travel conditions in Prince Edward County and the Southern Niagara Region. However, we have less confidence in this forecast since the heaviest squalls are expected to remain south of the Canadian border.


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Areas most likely to see a snow day on Wednesday include the Bruce Peninsula, Parry Sound, and North Bay, with a 90% chance of school bus cancellations. Having already experienced cancellations on Monday and Tuesday, these regions may face a third, and potentially a fourth day off, as Thursday is also shaping up to be problematic.

Muskoka's chances have been increased to 75%, as snow squalls are forecasted to hit the northern parts of the region, including Huntsville, which could lead to cancellations for the entire region. Prince Edward County faces a similar situation, with Lake Ontario squalls impacting the Picton area.

The Owen Sound, Southampton, and Meaford areas have a 50% chance of experiencing a snow day. There's a slight chance (25%) for cancellations in Kincardine, Hanover, and the southern part of the Niagara region.

The rest of Southern Ontario, not significantly impacted by lake effect snow, has less than a 10% chance of school bus cancellations.


Disclaimer: Instant Weather has zero authority when it comes to bus and school closures. It is completely up to the school boards, bus companies, local authorities, and parents to decide what is best for their children. This is our best guess based on our forecast.


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