Southern Ontario: ‘Snow Day’ Forecast for Monday, January 12, 2026
/No major winter weather is expected across Southern Ontario on Monday, which means school bus cancellations are very unlikely in most areas.
A weak system, being enhanced by Lake Huron and Georgian Bay, may bring a few centimetres of snowfall during the morning and early afternoon. This could briefly reduce visibility in some localized areas, particularly closer to the lakes.
That said, snowfall amounts are not expected to reach the threshold that typically prompts cancellations. If any decisions are made, they would most likely be in parts of Grey-Bruce, the Parry Sound area or Muskoka. For that reason, we have assigned these regions a low to very low chance, but the overall expectation is that buses will run as normal.
For the rest of Southern Ontario, the chance of a snow day remains under 5 percent on Monday.
Disclaimer: Instant Weather has zero authority when it comes to bus and school closures.
It is completely up to the school boards, bus companies, local authorities, and parents to decide what is best for their children. This is our best guess based on our forecast.

