Ice Day (Bus Cancellation) Outlook for Wednesday, March 30, 2022
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NOTE: You can click on the map to open a zoomable image which might be easier to read due to the small labels. If you prefer our old city label format, we have included that further down this article.
Scattered freezing rain is expected to affect Southern Ontario starting Wednesday morning and continuing throughout the day. There is a chance of school bus cancellations, however, the lack of freezing rain warnings at the moment and the timing makes it less certain exactly where these cancellations will occur. We have given a widespread 50% chance for Southwestern Ontario including Windsor, Sarnia, Rural London, Huron/Perth and Grey/Bruce. Freezing rain will begin sometime around the mid-morning hours so we’re not confident enough that the conditions will be bad enough at 5-6 am when the decision is made.
If school boards consider the forecast for freezing rain to linger into the afternoon, they should cancel school buses in the morning, but this is very subjective depending on the board. If Environment Canada upgrades some regions to a freezing rain warning by morning then that would greatly increase the chance of an ice day. So keep in mind this forecast is based on the assumption that only special weather statements are in effect by morning. It could go either way depending on the local road conditions and the weather alerts in effect when the decision is made. We may see very few cancellations or widespread cancellations on Wednesday morning as it’s right on the line.
The probability of school bus cancellations is lower in the more urban school boards including London, Hamilton/Niagara and the GTA with the chance of an ice day ranging from 5-25%. Central and Eastern Ontario will see the freezing rain start late in the afternoon so it shouldn’t affect buses there, but we can’t rule it out as some of those school boards tend to be more proactive. A freezing rain warning is currently in effect for the Sudbury and North Bay region and the school boards there tend to be more sensitive to the weather so cancellations there are very likely (75%).
If there are any cancellations tomorrow morning, you can be sure we’ll be up bright and early beginning at 6 AM with our bus cancellations live blog to keep you updated.
FORECAST MAP WITH CITY LABELS
Disclaimer: Instant Weather has zero authority when it comes to bus and school closures. It is completely up to the school boards, bus companies, and local authorities as well as being up to parents to decide what is best for their children. This is simply our best guess based on our forecast. Also note that due to the current pandemic, some school boards have changed their policies on school bus cancellations. Some will continue the school day in a virtual format should there be school bus cancellations - check with your local board for more details.
