Ice/Snow Day (Bus Cancellation) Outlook for Monday, March 7, 2022

NOTE: You can click on the map to open a zoomable image which might be easier to read due to the small labels. If you prefer our old city label format, we have included that further down this article.

A winter storm is expected to impact Southern Ontario on Monday. This system will bring the threat of freezing rain and heavy snow to Southwestern, Central and Eastern Ontario. As a result, there is the potential for school bus cancellations on Monday morning. The highest chance for cancellations is for the London, K/W, and Guelph region where a freezing rain warning is currently in effect with a 75% chance. Usually, school buses are cancellated whenever there is an active freezing rain warning. Hamilton also has that freezing rain warning, but it’s a more urban school board and tends to have a higher threshold for cancellation so we’ve given them a 50% chance of an ‘ice day’.

A few other regions including Parry Sound, North Bay and Bancroft (North Hastings) also have a strong chance of seeing cancellations as those school boards have a history of being more sensitive to weather conditions. And a winter travel advisory should be sufficient to cause them to cancel buses there. Otherwise, we’ve given a widespread 25-50% for most regions across Southern Ontario mainly because it will be very subjective and depend on each individual school board. The precipitation starts later in the morning a few hours after the decision is made which makes it a tricky forecast. Generally it’s a toss-up on if a winter travel advisory is enough to result in cancellations.

It’s unlikely we will see cancellations for the urban regions including Windsor, Niagara, Halton, Peel, Toronto and Ottawa as the weather conditions likely won’t be severe enough for them. However, we still have given them a 10-25% chance so it’s not out of the question.

If there are any cancellations tomorrow morning, you can be sure we’ll be up bright and early beginning at 6 AM with our bus cancellations live blog to keep you updated.


FORECAST MAP WITH CITY LABELS


Disclaimer: Instant Weather has zero authority when it comes to bus and school closures. It is completely up to the school boards, bus companies, and local authorities as well as being up to parents to decide what is best for their children. This is simply our best guess based on our forecast. Also note that due to the current pandemic, some school boards have changed their policies on school bus cancellations. Some will continue the school day in a virtual format should there be school bus cancellations - check with your local board for more details.